Events

BTC breakout levels

Round numbers where the book lives.

• BTC breaks 115,000 within 24HNo 63%
• BTC holds above 118,500 into the closeYes 79%
• BTC range-bound — DOWN by the 24H bellDown 51%

NVDA vs MSFT showdown

The AI capex race, on one tape.

• Capex face-off — NVDA outruns MSFT by the closeNVDA 64%
• MSFT closes the 3D window greenDown 56%
• NVDA green this windowUp 67%

Oil this week

Barrels around the inventory print.

• Oil up into the weekly inventory printUp 55%
• Oil breaks 75 within 24HYes 65%
• Oil fades the print — 1H windowDown 59%

TSLA weekly

Weekly closes, no narrative — just the tape.

• TSLA breaks 430 within 24HYes 70%
• Weekly face-off — TSLA outruns AAPL by the closeTSLA 52%
• TSLA closes the 3D window greenUp 58%

Crypto Q4

The quarter closes how it closes. Size the swings.

• Q4 face-off — BTC outruns ETH by the closeBTC 61%
• BTC up over the weekend — 24H windowUp 58%
• BTC finishes Q4 above the quarter-open printUp 69%

Fed rate call

The decision, the dissent, the dot-plot read — one event.

• Gold holds through the decision — GOLD up by the closeUp 73%
• Fed cuts at the September meeting — SPX up by the closeUp 64%
• NDX breaks 23,400 before the statementYes 59%

Crypto volatility week

The coins do what they want. Size accordingly.

• ETH 15m — seat openUp 52%
• BTC 30m — seat openDown 56%

Fed rate watch

Every macro print the desk flinches at — rate-sensitive names in one row.

• GOLD 30m — seat openNo 66%
• SPX 30m — seat open4705.00 27%
• NDX 30m — seat openUp 100%