Events

BTC breakout levels

Round numbers where the book lives.

• BTC breaks 115,000 within 24HNo 63%
• BTC holds above 118,500 into the closeYes 79%
• BTC range-bound — DOWN by the 24H bellDown 51%

NVDA vs MSFT showdown

The AI capex race, on one tape.

• NVDA green this windowUp 67%
• Quick face-off — NVDA vs MSFT, 15 minutesNVDA 61%
• Capex face-off — NVDA outruns MSFT by the closeNVDA 64%

Oil this week

Barrels around the inventory print.

• Oil breaks 75 within 24HYes 65%
• Oil fades the print — 1H windowDown 59%
• Commodity face-off — Oil outruns Gold this windowGOLD 54%

TSLA weekly

Weekly closes, no narrative — just the tape.

• TSLA 30M — can the bears hold it?Down 53%
• TSLA breaks below 400 this windowNo 59%
• TSLA breaks 430 within 24HYes 70%

Crypto Q4

The quarter closes how it closes. Size the swings.

• ETH breaks 4,500 this windowNo 52%
• AMZN momentum into the hourly bellUp 63%
• Q4 face-off — BTC outruns ETH by the closeBTC 61%

Fed rate call

The decision, the dissent, the dot-plot read — one event.

• SPX green into the rate decision — 1H windowUp 54%
• Gold holds through the decision — GOLD up by the closeUp 73%
• Fed cuts at the September meeting — SPX up by the closeUp 64%

Crypto volatility week

The coins do what they want. Size accordingly.

• ETH 15m — seat openUp 52%
• BTC 30m — seat openDown 56%

Fed rate watch

Every macro print the desk flinches at — rate-sensitive names in one row.

• GOLD 30m — seat openNo 66%
• SPX 30m — seat open4705.00 27%
• NDX 30m — seat openUp 100%